Investment risk explained

Risk is something we all have to deal with when we invest. But it’s probably one of the most misunderstood
concepts in investing.

Getting to grips with how it fits into the investing equation is not just important for your own sanity, it’ll make you a better investor and help you match your own personal financial needs to the mix of assets you choose to hold.

What is investment risk?

Ultimately, investment risk is about how likely you are to get back less money than you put in. It’s not about how spikey the graph looks throughout the life of the investment, that’s volatility.

And, as much as we’d all like our investments to go up in a straight line, those ups and downs are the price we pay for the hopeful long-term outperformance of shares over cash.

Risk is much more black and white than that and different types of assets like company shares or bonds will carry different levels of risk. Then within those buckets there is a spectrum upon which companies and governments sit.

For investors the trick is to understand the potential rewards on offer and assess if the attached risk is worth it.
Illustration of money with wings

Why you should consider risk when investing

Good long-term investing begins with assessing your
attitude to risk, your financial goals and how long you have
to get there.

Figuring out the relationship between these three elements will help you decide what to invest in. In this sense, risk goes a long way to informing what your portfolio will look like.

For example, if your investment goal is a £25,000 house deposit and you are giving yourself five years to get there with an initial lump sum of £20,000, you’d need to generate a 25% return over those five years.

If you were to lengthen the timeframe or reduce that goal, you’d put less pressure on your portfolio to produce
those returns.

The result would be that you’d expect to hold higher risk assets in the first instance, because your goals require the potential for high reward (and risk and possible reward go hand in hand). Reducing the need to generate that level of return means you could afford to adopt a lower risk level and can choose assets potentially offering less of a reward.

This is a crude example but the point is we should always start with these three elements and work backwards to choose the assets we invest in. If your goals look overly ambitious and you aren’t comfortable exposing your money to the risk level you’d need to take in the hope of getting there, it’s much better to decide that from the outset.

This is the big trade-off every investor needs to understand when they start investing.
weighing scale

Risk-reward concept

A good example of how risk and reward are linked is in government bonds.

Investing in them means you are willing to tie up your money for a number of years on the condition that you get regular ‘thank you’ interest payments for as long as your money is tied up.

If the government you are dealing with is deemed less stable relative to its peers, it’ll probably need to offer a higher interest rate than a somewhat safer country, to make it attractive enough for you to want to hand over your money.

That trade-off between the risk you choose to take and the reward on offer is the thread that runs through all financial assets.

Types of investment risk

Market risk

Market risk, sometimes called systematic risk, describes the possibility that something will affect the performance of an entire market. A specific event or a recession might hit all assets in a certain market at the same time.

Unsystematic risk

The opposite of market risk. Instead of an event hitting the whole market, this considers how something can affect a single security, like a stock. This might be because of a particular problem in a firm and is the reason we diversify, so one problem doesn’t hit your whole portfolio.

Liquidity risk

Liquidity is a term used to describe a company’s ability to pay its debts without running into financial difficulties.

If a firm has a big loan to pay back and it’s looking unlikely that they’ll be able to meet those repayments it is experiencing liquidity risk.

Concentration risk

If you choose to hold just a few stocks rather than being widely diversified, there comes the risk that any badly performing stocks will have a big impact on your overall portfolio. It’s a key reason why investors diversify their assets.

Credit risk

If you’re buying a bond you have to assess how likely it is that whoever you’re buying it from can repay you at the end of the term and provide interest payments along the way.

Understanding the ability of a government or company to pay you back can help you decide how much you’re willing to give them in the first place and how much interest you want along the way, to make up for the risk you’re taking.

Reinvestment risk

If you have invested in a bond and it’s maturing, you might start to think about what to do with that money when you get it back. But if you want to reinvest it you might not be able to get the same rate of return on your new investment as you did on the old one.

For example, if you’re currently holding a bond that pays 5% interest and the rate on offer when you come to reinvest that money is 3% you might have to settle for that lower level of return.

Inflation risk

If we were to simply stuff our savings under the mattress, in 10 years it would hopefully still be there but the value of what it could actually buy would be diminished.

Holding cash exposes savers to that inflation risk so investing with a view to at least matching the inflation rate can be appealing.

The theory here is that, if your money matches that level, your purchasing power in the real world is maintained. That step from saving to investing brings its own risks though (you’re currently reading all about them) so it’s not always helpful to compare the returns you can get from cash savings to those from the stock market.

How risky is my portfolio?

You can get an idea of the level of risk in your portfolio by comparing the weightings of the assets you hold. Holding more fixed income (bonds) and fewer equities (shares) usually means a lower risk profile, with a higher proportion of equities increasing risk levels.

It’s very important that you take into account your timeframe and goals here though. An equity-heavy portfolio geared towards funding your retirement in 35 years means something entirely different than the same portfolio geared towards providing a house deposit next year.
up and down arrows`

How to understand your risk appetite

We all have different goals that require different time frames and levels of risk to get there. Working backwards from what you actually want from your investments can help decide what levelof risk to take, and what assets to hold.

Capital preservation

Investors with this goal in mind typically want a low risk portfolio, maybe because the preservation of their money is more important to them than seeking growth.

This can be attractive for investors solely focused on income, maybe in retirement, as low volatility and relative certainty of returns are high up the priority list.

Income and capital growth

The prospect of growth comes into the picture more here. Income producing assets like bonds might be joined by shares which pay dividends but also offer the chance of capital growth.

Many investors used to bonds have felt the need to climb the risk scale into equity income since the financial crisis in 2008, as interest rates plummeted. Seeking a higher level of income than bonds can offer means accepting more risk in the stock market.

But one of the advantages of equities is that companies can pay out part of their profits to you as dividends and keep some back to put back into the business. If they can demonstrate that, when the firm reinvests in itself it produces even better profits, you might actually not want a dividend, preferring them to put that money to work instead.

This can be helpful if your goals mean you need to focus on the growth side, rather than income.

Capital growth

These portfolios tend to be equity heavy. This can suit younger investors with a long timeframe, like in pension accounts. That long-term view is important in this case as short-term kinks tend to look less menacing and create more of an upward trend over time.

As investors get nearer to their goals it can be a good idea to scale back the risk level here, to reduce the possibility of a sudden drop when it comes time to use those investment returns.
badge

Bonds and risk



Bonds are typically considered to make up the lower risk part of your portfolio. A bond is an agreement where you lend money to a company or government for a period of time. In exchange for the loan, the borrower agrees to pay you a return on your investment. This could be a fixed coupon paid twice per year, or a variable coupon which rises and falls with inflation. Or, in the case of zero coupon bonds, like UK Treasury bills, this could be a return on your original investment only paid when the bond matures.



Since bonds are a legal contract binding the borrower to pay you back your investment, they are considered to carry less risk than stocks. This means that the returns you generate may not be as high as you should expect for stocks. But past performance is never a guide to future returns and you should remember that not all bonds are created equally. They carry risks linked to the borrowers’ ability to repay (credit risk), the movement of interest rates, and the length of time before the bond matures.



If investors think that a borrower is less likely to be able to repay a bond, then they will want that borrower to pay a higher interest rate to compensate for that risk. Likewise, if a borrower plans to pay back a bond in thirty years, rather than next month, the return investors normally demand will be different.

Risk and diversification

The main way investors will try to mitigate risk is through diversification. Holding a range of assets with uncorrelated returns and influences reduces the likelihood that one event will hit them all in a similar way.

For example, many investors will hold precious metals like gold as it tends to perform differently than stocks. Diversification is about having a squad of team mates with different skills, ready to perform for the good of the overall team.

Assets like stocks, bonds and even a bit of cash can play their part. Within stock holdings, it’s also important to diversify by geography and sector too.

Be careful of diworsification, though there is some research to suggest that, by the time you have added about 20 to 30 stocks in different geographies and industries to your portfolio, most of the reduction in risk that can be achieved has been done.

This doesn’t take into account the other assets you could possibly hold, like bonds, but is an important point to make. We can fall into the trap of thinking more is always better. But this brings in a risk of its own, namely that you start to introduce lower quality stocks into your portfolio and dilute the contribution your high performers can have.

What’s more, if you are actively choosing stocks, you could end up basically replicating the index, in which case it might just be less of a headache to buy an ETF index tracker instead
electronics

Types of investments and their level of risk

Stocks

Bonds

REITs / Property

Commodities

Cash

ETFs

Investment trusts

SPACs

Penny stocks

AIM

Crypto / Bitcoin

Investment scams and how to identify one

If you are being offered high levels of reward, with low (or no) risk or a guaranteed huge reward on an asset it’s time to take a step back. You know what they say if something looks too good to be true.

Cold calls offering mouthwatering returns are nearly always scams and should never be trusted. Ask yourself: if this person were really this confident, why are they so eager to offer that chance to me instead?

If you are genuinely unsure of any investment make sure to check its legitimacy with the FCA or seek advice from a qualified financial adviser.
bell

So, should you still be investing?

Investing starts with risk management. All investors should begin by assessing their attitude to risk, their goals and their time horizon and only then choosing assets to suit. Risk can be managed through techniques like diversification and the characteristics of the assets you choose.

But ultimately, we can’t invest without it. If that is still a scary proposition for you, investing maybe isn’t for you. If you feel you can learn to manage risk and not let it keep you awake at night, it might be worth exploring.
Important Information: This should not be read as personal investment advice and individual investors should make their own decisions or seek independent advice.

When you invest, your capital is at risk. The value of your portfolio can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you invest. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Freetrade is a trading name of Freetrade Limited, which is a member firm of the London Stock Exchange and is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Registered in England and Wales (no. 09797821).

You’re just minutes away from commission-free investing

When you invest, your capital is at risk